Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Retail Sales Report

Retail Report is set to be released on September 14th at 8:30am eastern time. This is going to be a big deal. I think it'll have the same impact as the jobs report came out a few days ago. Good or bad I think this will either make or break that day.


The prior report came in at a 0.3% gain. Estimates are at around 0.6% by and the market consensus is 0.5%


The retail sales report is a measure of the total receipts of retail stores. The changes in retail sales are widely followed as the most timely indicator of broad consumer spending patterns. Retail sales are often viewed ex-autos, as auto sales can move sharply from month-to-month. It is also important to keep an eye on the gas and food components, where changes in sales are often a result of price changes rather than shifting consumer demand.

Retail sales can be quite volatile and the advance reports are subject to rather large revisions. Retail sales do not include spending on services, which makes up over half of total consumption. Total personal consumption is not available until the personal income and consumption reports are released, typically two weeks after retail sales.

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